Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000777 0.000832 0.000890 0.000956 0.001028 0.001106 0.001196
2026-01-11 0.000689 0.000764 0.000846 0.000943 0.001057 0.001186 0.001344
2026-01-18 0.000635 0.000720 0.000818 0.000938 0.001084 0.001257 0.001480
2026-01-25 0.000678 0.000790 0.000923 0.001093 0.001309 0.001578 0.001947
2026-02-01 0.000622 0.000735 0.000872 0.001053 0.001288 0.001590 0.002019
2026-02-08 0.000579 0.000693 0.000834 0.001024 0.001276 0.001611 0.002101
2026-02-15 0.000549 0.000665 0.000811 0.001011 0.001284 0.001656 0.002219
2026-02-22 0.000517 0.000633 0.000781 0.000986 0.001273 0.001671 0.002293
2026-03-01 0.000484 0.000598 0.000744 0.000950 0.001242 0.001657 0.002320
2026-03-08 0.000464 0.000578 0.000726 0.000938 0.001244 0.001689 0.002419
2026-03-15 0.000443 0.000556 0.000705 0.000921 0.001237 0.001706 0.002495
2026-03-22 0.000414 0.000522 0.000665 0.000874 0.001185 0.001650 0.002447
2026-03-29 0.000389 0.000494 0.000635 0.000844 0.001159 0.001642 0.002491
2026-04-05 0.000371 0.000476 0.000618 0.000833 0.001163 0.001680 0.002621
2026-04-12 0.000358 0.000463 0.000607 0.000829 0.001176 0.001735 0.002786
2026-04-19 0.000385 0.000508 0.000682 0.000959 0.001413 0.002187 0.003771
2026-04-26 0.000364 0.000483 0.000653 0.000925 0.001378 0.002166 0.003817
2026-05-03 0.000347 0.000463 0.000630 0.000901 0.001358 0.002167 0.003911
2026-05-10 0.000335 0.000450 0.000616 0.000890 0.001360 0.002210 0.004102
2026-05-17 0.000321 0.000433 0.000597 0.000869 0.001343 0.002214 0.004204
2026-05-24 0.000305 0.000413 0.000573 0.000839 0.001306 0.002178 0.004210
2026-05-31 0.000295 0.000402 0.000561 0.000828 0.001305 0.002212 0.004386
2026-06-07 0.000285 0.000390 0.000547 0.000814 0.001295 0.002226 0.004517